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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.14+8.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.10+3.45vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+6.65vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.71+2.74vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+3.65vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+2.48vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.61+4.27vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.38+4.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.06vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.57vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-1.27vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.40vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-4.93vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-2.54vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.59-0.21vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.01-6.33vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.50-5.11vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.97-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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5.45Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.65Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.48Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.27Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.09George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.57Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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14.79University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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9.67Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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11.89Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.64Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| India Johnstone | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% |
| Louise Currie | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 40.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.