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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.44vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.61+8.58vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.76vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.67+5.97vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.85+4.40vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.71-0.14vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+3.68vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.50+2.79vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-0.13vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-1.72vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.28-3.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.04vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-4.52vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-9.61vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-7.63vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-7.24vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.59-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.97George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.4Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.86College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.79Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.76Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 12.1% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Louise Currie | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.