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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.57vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.10+2.48vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+5.37vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+4.53vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+1.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+1.63vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14+0.14vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.64vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.71-4.02vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-2.84vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-1.29vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.67-3.23vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.61-3.69vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.07vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.59-2.01vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.50-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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5.48Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.63Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.14Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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10.64Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.77George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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11.31Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.63Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.1% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte List | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Louise Currie | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 43.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.