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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+4.03vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+4.17vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.97+4.75vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03+2.61vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+1.07vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85+1.37vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.28-1.15vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61+0.45vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-1.94vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.67-2.08vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-5.41vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.10-9.64vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-4.09vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.50-5.11vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.59-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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9.07Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.37Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.85Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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11.45Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.06Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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10.92George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.91Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.89Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.73University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Louise Currie | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.