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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+10.51vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.92vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+6.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.98vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+6.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.30vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+2.16vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+2.27vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.71-2.27vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-1.50vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.10-5.46vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-2.81vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.28-4.53vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-4.42vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.67-4.00vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-6.26vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.59-1.98vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.50-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.51Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.92Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.16Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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10.27Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.47Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.0George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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11.62Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Louise Currie | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 43.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.