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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.17vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.39vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+5.32vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+3.67vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.97+3.83vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.28+1.49vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.71-1.31vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.10-3.76vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.50+1.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-1.22vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.14-2.54vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-3.56vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.59-0.22vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.38-3.73vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-5.11vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.85-7.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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5.24Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.97Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.78Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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9.46Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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10.99Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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14.78University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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12.27George Washington University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.89Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.1Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Louise Currie | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 38.9% |
| India Johnstone | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
| Charlotte List | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.