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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.31+4.36vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University2.27+1.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.86+3.09vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.44-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.71-1.26vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-2.54vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.15-2.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36University of Hawaii1.317.6%1st Place
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3.25San Diego State University2.2722.6%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Berkeley0.865.8%1st Place
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3.13Stanford University2.4422.9%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.2%1st Place
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4.74University of Southern California1.719.3%1st Place
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4.46California Poly Maritime Academy1.9211.2%1st Place
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5.43University of Washington1.158.4%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Los Angeles-0.342.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Everett McAvoy | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 7.0% |
Noah Nyenhuis | 22.6% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Carsten Zieger | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 13.5% |
Chapman Petersen | 22.9% | 22.0% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Henry Boeger | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
Hudson Mayfield | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
Nicholas Mueller | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
Oliver Nairn | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 7.8% |
Rigel Mummers | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.