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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+9.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.21+6.59vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+5.43vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+1.36vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.50+6.28vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.06+3.57vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.14+1.97vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.13vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+2.13vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85+0.04vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-2.68vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-5.24vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-3.37vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-7.62vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.59vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.29vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.87Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.59Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.43Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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11.28Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.97Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.13George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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10.04Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.76College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.63Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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6.38University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
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9.71Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 16.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Melany Johnson | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Charlotte List | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.