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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+8.13vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.50+8.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+4.72vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+2.95vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+5.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-1.71vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.28+0.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.88vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67+0.74vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-1.31vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.71-5.22vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-2.69vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.14-4.82vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-3.48vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.97-6.22vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.13Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.49Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.72Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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5.29Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.74George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.69Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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10.31Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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9.18Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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11.52Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.78Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Holly Tullo | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.6% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 13.5% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Clerc Cooper | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Charlotte List | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 16.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.