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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+4.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.50+9.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.71+3.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.06+5.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+4.32vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28+2.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+2.67vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.14+0.79vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67+2.11vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.85-0.01vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.88vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.21-3.27vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.35-4.76vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-2.72vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.03-5.57vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.84-9.74vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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11.45Stanford University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston3.710.1%1st Place
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9.46Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.32Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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9.67Old Dominion University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.79Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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11.11George Washington University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.99Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.28Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.030.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 15.3% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Holly Tullo | 3.3% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.3% |
| Clerc Cooper | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.1% |
| Catherine Shanahan | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 16.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.