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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.98+10.33vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.92vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+5.92vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+4.89vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.46+0.26vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.03+4.98vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-0.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.48vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.92-1.90vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.73-1.73vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-2.13vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.87-4.23vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-0.97vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.97-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-4.90vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.86vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.22-6.68vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-6.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.33Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.92Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.1Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.87Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.03Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.89Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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13.14Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.32Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Clementi | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Katia DaSilva | 16.0% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Maeve White | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.8% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 22.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.