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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+7.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.88vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+4.45vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College1.98+7.07vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+3.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.54vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+2.00vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.73-0.08vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.22+1.11vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.87-2.31vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.46-5.63vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.72+0.58vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.97-1.94vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.37vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-6.23vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-2.78vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.74-4.72vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.97Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.52George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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9.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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10.11Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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12.58Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.06Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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10.63Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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13.22Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Maeve White | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 14.0% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 21.8% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.