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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+7.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+3.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+4.14vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+4.90vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.22+5.31vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.26vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+2.77vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92-0.56vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.87-3.07vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98-0.23vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-4.05vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.50-1.06vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.72-2.56vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-4.72vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.97-5.41vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.6Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.85George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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12.94Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.44Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.28Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.59Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.23University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Katia DaSilva | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Maeve White | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 20.6% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.