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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+7.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+3.58vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+6.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.87+3.69vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+3.82vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+3.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.03vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72+4.33vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98+2.43vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+1.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-5.04vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-4.13vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.50+0.07vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-5.23vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.22-4.64vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.03-4.75vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii1.74-4.48vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.58Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.82George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.33Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.43Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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11.71Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.87Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.77Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.36Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.25Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Maeve White | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 22.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 15.7% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.