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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+6.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.73+6.48vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+6.26vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.15vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.46+0.48vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+2.86vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+0.50vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.72+4.31vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+0.05vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+1.65vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.50+2.37vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.22-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.28vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.10vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.87-7.32vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-3.58vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-7.10vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.97-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston2.730.0%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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5.48Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.86George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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12.31Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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13.37Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.76Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.9Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.68Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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11.29Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 14.2% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Maeve White | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 23.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 13.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.