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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California0.90+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.37vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.00+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22+0.51vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.11-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Southern California0.9019.6%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii1.0519.7%1st Place
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3.46Stanford University1.0017.4%1st Place
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3.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.0822.9%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Berkeley-0.224.5%1st Place
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6.35Arizona State University-0.393.4%1st Place
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4.64University of Washington0.119.4%1st Place
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6.34University of California at San Diego-0.703.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgana Manti | 19.6% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 19.7% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ava Cornell | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 22.9% | 21.3% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.9% | 22.2% | 16.9% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 23.7% | 37.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 9.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 6.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 24.9% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.