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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+8.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+3.61vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+4.77vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+2.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+4.69vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.73+2.31vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.87+0.72vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.97+3.31vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.72+3.46vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+1.66vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.22-0.45vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.03-0.44vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-4.13vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.54-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.24vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-7.02vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.50-3.64vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.77Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.31Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.46Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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10.55Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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13.36Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.4% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 23.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.