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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.73+7.49vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+3.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.56+6.21vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+2.93vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.72+7.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87+1.70vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+2.09vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.50+5.14vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.22+1.38vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.46vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.98+0.55vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-4.14vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-7.30vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.03-3.13vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.51-5.94vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.97-4.49vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-7.12vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.57Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.93Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.31Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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7.7Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.09Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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13.14Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.38Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.87Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University2.510.0%1st Place
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11.51Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 16.4% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 22.3% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% |
| Maeve White | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% |
| Maria Sinagra | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.