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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+6.93vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.46+3.58vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.98+8.71vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+5.01vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+3.17vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+3.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.56+2.01vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92-0.56vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.99vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.03+0.34vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.51-2.47vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.72-0.76vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-3.92vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-3.62vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-3.56vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-7.10vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.50-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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5.58Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.71Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.17College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.88Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.34Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.53George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.08Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.38Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Katia DaSilva | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Maeve White | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 15.9% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 14.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.