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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.87+6.91vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.98+9.63vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+4.69vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+2.86vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+4.01vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.46-0.54vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.97+4.42vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.73+0.18vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.03+2.17vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-0.43vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.51-1.66vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.72+0.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.41vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-3.96vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.50-1.79vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-6.98vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-11.08vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-5.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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11.63Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.01Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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5.46Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.42Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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11.17Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.0%1st Place
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9.34George Washington University2.510.1%1st Place
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12.79Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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10.04Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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13.21Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly McGlynn | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% |
| Maeve White | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Katia DaSilva | 13.5% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
| Marissa Golison | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Maria Sinagra | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Johanna Monro | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 20.4% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Lynn | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 22.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.