← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.73+6.57vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.46+2.97vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+5.68vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.05+2.57vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.92+1.86vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.58+2.54vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University2.03+3.59vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.98+2.48vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.56-0.38vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.23-0.35vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.87-3.59vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.97-1.23vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-3.72vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.22-4.00vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College1.50-2.47vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.54-7.40vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University1.72-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.57College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
-
4.97Georgetown University3.460.2%1st Place
-
8.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.57Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
6.86Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.54George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
10.59Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
-
10.48Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
8.62Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
-
9.65University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.41Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
-
10.77Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
-
9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.0Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
-
12.53Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.6Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
11.88Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Katia DaSilva | 16.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Maeve White | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% |
| Emilia Clementi | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 24.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.