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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+7.09vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.73+4.72vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.46+1.17vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.54+3.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.87+1.42vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.920.00vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.98+2.53vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-2.32vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.97+0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.23-1.05vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-3.66vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.03-2.29vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-3.99vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.72-3.25vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.50-3.38vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.56-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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5.17Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.53Connecticut College1.980.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.68Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.34George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.71Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
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10.01Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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11.75Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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12.62Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Katia DaSilva | 15.0% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Maeve White | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 5.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 17.9% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 22.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.