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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50+7.53vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.36vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+3.52vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+3.06vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.73+2.55vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.98+4.95vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.50+5.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.99vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.46-3.75vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.72+1.70vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-2.27vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-3.60vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.87-5.72vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.22-4.09vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.97-4.19vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-6.15vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.03-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.52Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.06Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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10.95Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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12.53Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
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5.25Georgetown University3.460.1%1st Place
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11.7Fordham University1.720.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.4George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.91Boston College2.220.0%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University1.970.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.6Old Dominion University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Golison | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Maeve White | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 22.6% |
| Devon Rohde | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Katia DaSilva | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Monro | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 16.4% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Lynn | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Quinn Howes | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.