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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.08vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.69+6.84vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+3.01vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+5.57vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+3.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.95+1.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+1.79vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-0.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.02vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68-1.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-0.69vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-0.50vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University1.45+1.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.81-5.80vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.37+1.94vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.96vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.35-2.97vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.99-10.44vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.53-2.42vs Predicted
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20Sacred Heart University0.12-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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6.01Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.57Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.5Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.7University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.79Yale University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.87Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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11.5Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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14.14Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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16.94Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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14.03University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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16.58Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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17.63Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 13.9% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| William Dykes | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 20.9% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 22.9% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.