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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+6.42vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.51+6.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.69+4.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+2.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.22vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.12vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.75+0.28vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-3.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33+0.27vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.35+3.11vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.09-0.46vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.81-4.38vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.12+3.63vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.99vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.37+0.96vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-8.32vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.45-4.12vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.53-2.43vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont2.99-12.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.42Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.27Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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14.11University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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11.54Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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17.63Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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16.96Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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13.88Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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16.57Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.8% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.5% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| William Dykes | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 38.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 22.0% | 28.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 21.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.