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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+8.08vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.95+5.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+7.39vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.75+4.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+1.61vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+5.40vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09+3.02vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-0.28vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.81-1.76vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.42-5.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-3.87vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.35+0.18vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University1.45-1.32vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.51-6.52vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.53-0.44vs Predicted
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18Sacred Heart University0.12-0.36vs Predicted
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19Boston College2.69-10.24vs Predicted
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20Bates College0.37-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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10.39Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.03Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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12.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.84Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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14.18University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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13.68Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.48Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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16.56Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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17.64Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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8.76Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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17.11Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla Ellis | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 10.8% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Perry | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 21.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 23.6% | 37.8% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.