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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+3.70vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.44+1.08vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University2.27+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.31+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.30vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.15-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.34-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7University of Southern California1.7111.3%1st Place
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3.08Stanford University2.4424.5%1st Place
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3.33San Diego State University2.2721.4%1st Place
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5.24University of Hawaii1.317.8%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Berkeley0.864.1%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.0%1st Place
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4.35California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.0%1st Place
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5.47University of Washington1.157.3%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.341.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Hudson Mayfield | 11.3% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% |
Chapman Petersen | 24.5% | 21.7% | 17.7% | 14.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Noah Nyenhuis | 21.4% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Everett McAvoy | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
Carsten Zieger | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 24.4% | 15.0% |
Henry Boeger | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% |
Nicholas Mueller | 12.0% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
Oliver Nairn | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 7.6% |
Rigel Mummers | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 13.9% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.