← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.38+5.04vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.75+6.49vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.51+6.64vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.81+4.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont2.99+2.48vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.21vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.76+1.71vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.91-0.32vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University1.45+4.77vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.33+0.30vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.95-3.25vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.69-3.02vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.59vs Predicted
-
14Sacred Heart University0.12+3.64vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.35-1.00vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy0.53+0.58vs Predicted
-
17Bates College0.37-0.04vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University2.68-9.12vs Predicted
-
19Boston University3.42-13.18vs Predicted
-
20Roger Williams University2.09-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.04Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.49Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
-
9.64Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
-
8.25Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.48University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
-
8.71Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.68Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
13.77Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
-
10.3Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
-
7.75University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
-
8.98Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
-
12.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
17.64Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
-
14.0University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
-
16.58Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
-
16.96Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.88Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
-
5.82Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
11.43Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marly Isler | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Bove | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 21.8% | 38.5% |
| William Dykes | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 16.3% | 22.3% | 22.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 23.5% | 26.6% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.