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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+6.49vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+8.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.91+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.99vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+0.91vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.51+1.32vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.68-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-2.42vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University1.45+2.86vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.69-3.00vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-2.33vs Predicted
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14Sacred Heart University0.12+3.61vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.35-0.96vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.37+0.99vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-5.04vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.75-9.45vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.81-10.76vs Predicted
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20Maine Maritime Academy0.53-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.09Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.49Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University2.090.0%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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5.94Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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9.32Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.72Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.58University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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13.86Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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9.0Boston College2.690.1%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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17.61Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.04University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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16.99Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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16.73Maine Maritime Academy0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Perry | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 3.6% |
| Domenic Bove | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Brian Reilly | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 21.5% | 38.1% |
| William Dykes | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Amy Macdonald | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 24.0% | 27.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Sturmer | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.