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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+6.13vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.21+7.18vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.52+5.07vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+6.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+2.59vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85+0.70vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.03+10.13vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.67-0.84vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.24+8.36vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.05-0.16vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+2.84vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-6.46vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.43-5.72vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.29+0.91vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.24-3.10vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.20-11.69vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.23-8.86vs Predicted
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19Bates College-0.15-1.92vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College1.73-8.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.07Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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10.59Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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17.13Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.16Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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17.36Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.28Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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15.91Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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12.9University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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5.31Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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17.08Bates College-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Herlihy | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 25.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 20.7% | 29.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Bell | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 14.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Katlyn Flynn | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 25.5% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.