← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.72+6.15vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.30+6.79vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University1.86+7.68vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.43+4.34vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.85+1.66vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University2.21+3.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.96-0.55vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.73+2.90vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+4.83vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire1.24+3.03vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.05-1.04vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.24vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.52-4.78vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.20-8.59vs Predicted
-
15Wesleyan University-0.24+2.20vs Predicted
-
16Bates College-0.15+1.04vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.23-8.02vs Predicted
-
18Sacred Heart University-0.03-1.13vs Predicted
-
19Yale University2.67-11.70vs Predicted
-
20Maine Maritime Academy0.29-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.79Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.68Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
8.34Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.66Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
9.3Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
6.45University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
-
10.9Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
13.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
-
13.03University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.96Boston University2.050.1%1st Place
-
7.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
-
8.22Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
-
5.41Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
17.2Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
17.04Bates College-0.150.0%1st Place
-
8.98Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
16.87Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
7.3Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
16.13Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Cushing | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 24.6% | 28.8% |
| Katlyn Flynn | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 28.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Herlihy | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 20.5% | 23.8% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Steven Bell | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.