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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+5.21vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.73+9.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.05+6.99vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+3.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+4.03vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+3.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72+0.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-2.68vs Predicted
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9Sacred Heart University-0.03+7.84vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-2.63vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+2.81vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-4.22vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-2.11vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.85-7.38vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.30-6.10vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.43-7.74vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.15+0.12vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.24-4.95vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-0.24-1.68vs Predicted
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20Maine Maritime Academy0.29-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.03Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.32Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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16.84Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.37Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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13.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.62Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.9Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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17.12Bates College-0.150.0%1st Place
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13.05University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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17.32Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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16.1Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Herlihy | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 21.3% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Dumke | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Katlyn Flynn | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 26.9% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 32.0% |
| Steven Bell | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 18.5% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.