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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.85+5.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+7.11vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+5.43vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+3.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+0.45vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+3.28vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+0.85vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.15+9.08vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.67-1.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.40vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86-0.39vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.30-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.24+0.26vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-4.16vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-8.71vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.73-4.99vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.03-0.20vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.24-0.59vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.29-3.05vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.85Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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17.08Bates College-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.27Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.61Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.300.1%1st Place
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13.26University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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11.01Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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16.8Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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17.41Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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15.95Maine Maritime Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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13.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katlyn Flynn | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 21.5% | 26.4% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Brown | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Levinson | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| William Herlihy | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 21.5% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 32.3% |
| Steven Bell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 14.0% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.