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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+6.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+5.51vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.43+5.39vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.30+4.79vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+4.09vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+4.63vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+2.28vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52-0.29vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-3.65vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-2.87vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73+0.07vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire1.24+1.06vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+1.03vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.15+3.04vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University-0.24+2.11vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-9.77vs Predicted
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17Sacred Heart University-0.03-0.38vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.05-8.18vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.18-1.96vs Predicted
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20Boston College2.85-13.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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8.79Tufts University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.09Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.63Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.35Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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13.06University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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14.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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17.04Bates College-0.150.0%1st Place
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17.11Wesleyan University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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16.62Sacred Heart University-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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17.04Maine Maritime Academy-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.76Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Brown | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Levinson | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.5% |
| Katlyn Flynn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 24.7% |
| Abe Kipnis | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 28.0% |
| Amina Brown | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Herlihy | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 18.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alison Mitchell | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 22.4% | 24.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.