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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.05+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90+0.27vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.00-0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.11-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.55vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.39-0.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.70-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara1.0820.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Hawaii1.0518.4%1st Place
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3.27University of Southern California0.9020.3%1st Place
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3.44Stanford University1.0018.6%1st Place
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4.57University of Washington0.1110.1%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Berkeley-0.226.5%1st Place
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6.33Arizona State University-0.393.6%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego-0.702.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 20.0% | 20.8% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 18.4% | 18.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 20.3% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Ava Cornell | 18.6% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 10.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 15.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 39.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.