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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.72+2.59vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.65+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo1.00+1.11vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.24+2.48vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.28-3.35vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.40-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland0.86-2.65vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.06-1.92vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.24-2.52vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-4.20vs Predicted
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12American University-1.35-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59William and Mary1.720.2%1st Place
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3.74Columbia University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.11University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
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7.48Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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2.65Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
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4.2Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
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7.08Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.48Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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8.99American University-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Siegel | 19.0% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 15.3% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 25.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 31.0% | 25.9% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Fraize | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 20.3% | 25.0% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 19.5% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 17.6% | 60.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.