Race 5A

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Veronica Maccari 32.6% 22.3% 17.5% 10.2% 9.6% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Siegel 16.5% 17.6% 17.1% 16.0% 12.8% 10.0% 6.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
George Uehling 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 5.9% 7.5% 10.5% 19.1% 27.8% 15.8% 0.0%
Julian Fraize 11.1% 13.1% 15.1% 17.3% 13.3% 13.3% 9.7% 4.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
George Uehling 2.2% 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 5.9% 7.5% 10.5% 19.1% 27.8% 15.8% 0.0%
Adam DeVita 15.9% 17.8% 15.5% 17.1% 14.5% 10.0% 4.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Dante Iozzo 8.5% 9.8% 10.7% 11.6% 13.8% 14.4% 14.8% 10.9% 4.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Samuel Haksteen 2.7% 3.1% 4.9% 5.8% 8.8% 11.3% 15.4% 21.8% 17.9% 8.3% 0.0%
Zachary Thomas 7.1% 9.3% 10.1% 11.1% 12.7% 15.7% 16.4% 10.3% 6.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Jeffrey Proko 2.5% 3.2% 5.0% 4.6% 6.2% 10.4% 14.5% 18.2% 24.9% 10.5% 0.0%
Alexina Beckley 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 5.5% 8.3% 14.5% 62.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.