← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology1.40+3.20vs Predicted
-
2Drexel University-0.06+5.13vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary1.72+0.72vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University2.28-1.32vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+1.75vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland0.86-0.73vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University1.65-3.21vs Predicted
-
8Virginia Tech-0.24-0.61vs Predicted
-
9American University-1.350.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Buffalo1.00-4.93vs Predicted
-
12Virginia Tech-0.24-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.2Stevens Institute of Technology1.400.1%1st Place
-
7.13Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
3.72William and Mary1.720.2%1st Place
-
2.68Hampton University2.280.3%1st Place
-
6.75University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
5.27University of Maryland0.860.1%1st Place
-
3.79Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
7.39Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
-
9.0American University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
5.07University of Buffalo1.000.1%1st Place
-
7.39Virginia Tech-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Fraize | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 22.8% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam Siegel | 16.8% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Maccari | 28.8% | 25.4% | 19.1% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Thomas | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 14.8% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 25.4% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 61.2% | 0.0% |
| Dante Iozzo | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| George Uehling | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 25.4% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.