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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+0.63vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.55vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.62+3.97vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.92+0.14vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.47-1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48+0.61vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-0.52vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.33-1.69vs Predicted
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9American University-1.82-0.21vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.62-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.83-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
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3.55William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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6.97Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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3.21Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.48Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.31Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.79American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.97Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 59.8% | 25.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 10.5% | 20.0% | 23.1% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 18.3% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 5.8% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 13.9% | 23.7% | 23.0% | 19.5% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 55.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 18.3% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 0.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 22.1% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.