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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.47+2.25vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.59vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.62+3.97vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02-2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Buffalo0.92-0.91vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-0.17vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.33-1.70vs Predicted
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9American University-1.82-0.24vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.62-3.03vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland-0.83-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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3.59William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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6.97Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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1.56Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
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4.09University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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6.39Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.3Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.76American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.97Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Bertolotti | 13.3% | 25.0% | 22.0% | 19.5% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 9.7% | 18.7% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 60.2% | 27.3% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 7.7% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Collins | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 22.0% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.