Race 3B

william-mary-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paolo Bertolotti 14.2% 23.6% 22.8% 17.4% 12.1% 5.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 60.9% 25.8% 9.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 10.6% 18.5% 20.7% 20.9% 15.9% 9.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cem Ayanoglu 5.9% 13.4% 18.9% 21.1% 18.8% 11.7% 6.5% 3.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 1.5% 3.6% 7.2% 6.5% 7.2% 12.2% 17.2% 16.4% 20.5% 7.7% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 1.5% 3.6% 7.2% 6.5% 7.2% 12.2% 17.2% 16.4% 20.5% 7.7% 0.0%
Joseph Collins 2.0% 3.6% 5.3% 6.8% 9.2% 14.6% 14.4% 18.9% 17.0% 8.2% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.6% 4.2% 7.1% 10.1% 16.7% 55.8% 0.0%
Robert Stricek 1.8% 4.3% 5.7% 9.5% 12.0% 17.0% 16.3% 15.9% 12.6% 4.9% 0.0%
Peter Teague 1.8% 3.5% 5.1% 8.6% 13.2% 14.6% 16.6% 16.9% 13.8% 5.9% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 0.8% 2.7% 3.7% 5.5% 8.1% 10.5% 16.2% 16.7% 18.6% 17.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.