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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.29+2.56vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02-0.44vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.62+3.91vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.47-0.71vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.83+1.21vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.62-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.92-3.85vs Predicted
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9American University-1.82-0.24vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.33-3.64vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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1.56Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.29Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.37Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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8.76American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.36Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Guinn | 12.1% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 61.5% | 25.1% | 9.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 11.1% | 23.5% | 24.4% | 20.8% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 2.0% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 5.8% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.6% | 53.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Collins | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.