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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.47+2.31vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.62+4.91vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+3.49vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.92+0.15vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.62+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.83+1.21vs Predicted
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7American University-1.82+1.69vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-1.22vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.33-2.66vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.29-6.46vs Predicted
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11Hampton University3.02-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.49Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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6.91Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.69American University-1.820.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.34Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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3.54William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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1.58Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Bertolotti | 12.1% | 24.7% | 23.2% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 6.0% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 55.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Collins | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 1.9% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 11.4% | 18.9% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 61.5% | 25.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.