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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.78+4.75vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.33+5.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+3.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.38+3.41vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16-0.29vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.52+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.86+1.10vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.53vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.39-2.92vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.10-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.90-3.16vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.90-4.11vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.81-4.85vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.29-7.58vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.53-3.06vs Predicted
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17Cornell University-1.85-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.71St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.2%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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7.08Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Rhode Island2.900.1%1st Place
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8.89Eckerd College2.900.1%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.42University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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15.91Cornell University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Heausler | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sara Morgan Watters | 15.6% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 0.2% |
| Sara Burke | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Bethany Leonard | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Emilie Mademann | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Dubois | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 50.7% | 2.3% |
| Isa Betancourt | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 96.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.