Race 6B

william-mary-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Paolo Bertolotti 14.0% 23.1% 24.2% 17.9% 10.9% 5.5% 3.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 1.8% 3.5% 4.4% 6.0% 9.2% 13.9% 15.4% 17.4% 18.4% 10.0% 0.0%
Cem Ayanoglu 6.7% 14.5% 15.8% 21.4% 18.3% 12.5% 7.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Stricek 1.0% 4.2% 6.5% 9.1% 12.4% 17.1% 16.9% 14.0% 13.5% 5.3% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 60.4% 26.0% 10.4% 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Guinn 10.8% 19.5% 23.8% 20.0% 13.3% 8.0% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Derek Thompson 1.5% 1.6% 3.2% 5.4% 7.3% 12.7% 13.8% 19.5% 20.5% 14.5% 0.0%
Joseph Collins 1.3% 3.1% 4.9% 6.9% 12.6% 11.9% 15.7% 18.7% 15.5% 9.4% 0.0%
Kris Rodriguez 1.8% 3.5% 4.4% 6.0% 9.2% 13.9% 15.4% 17.4% 18.4% 10.0% 0.0%
Peter Teague 2.1% 3.7% 5.7% 8.4% 12.4% 14.6% 16.5% 15.3% 15.3% 6.0% 0.0%
Alexander Wade 0.4% 0.8% 1.1% 2.2% 3.4% 3.6% 7.6% 10.5% 15.8% 54.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.