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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+0.62vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.47+1.26vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+0.57vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.62+2.92vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38+1.38vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.62+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Buffalo0.92-3.87vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.33-2.67vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.83-2.71vs Predicted
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11American University-1.82-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
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3.26Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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3.57William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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6.92Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.38Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.92Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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6.33Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.76American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 60.3% | 24.0% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paolo Bertolotti | 12.9% | 24.9% | 21.0% | 18.8% | 13.5% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 10.7% | 18.2% | 22.9% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.0% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Collins | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 6.5% | 13.9% | 18.6% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 22.4% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 54.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.