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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.47+2.28vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.62+4.90vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02-1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.92+0.13vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.33+1.29vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.29-2.49vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.62-0.10vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology-0.38-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.57-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland-0.83-2.72vs Predicted
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11American University-1.82-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Columbia University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.9Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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1.59Hampton University3.020.6%1st Place
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4.13University of Buffalo0.920.1%1st Place
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6.29Drexel University-0.330.0%1st Place
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3.51William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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6.9Virginia Tech-0.620.0%1st Place
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6.46Stevens Institute of Technology-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Maryland-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.79American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Bertolotti | 13.5% | 22.8% | 23.6% | 18.8% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 58.5% | 28.0% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cem Ayanoglu | 6.9% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Stricek | 1.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 13.1% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 21.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kris Rodriguez | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Teague | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 12.5% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Collins | 1.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Derek Thompson | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 54.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.