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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University1.06+1.40vs Predicted
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3Hope College1.10-0.66vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-0.52-0.16vs Predicted
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5Indiana University1.50-3.06vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.35-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Michigan State University1.060.3%1st Place
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2.34Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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3.84Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
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1.94Indiana University1.500.4%1st Place
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4.48University of Iowa-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Declercq | 25.9% | 27.6% | 30.3% | 13.5% | 2.7% |
| DJ Litts | 25.5% | 30.7% | 29.8% | 12.1% | 1.9% |
| Stefan Peterson | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 47.1% | 27.6% |
| Najwa Jumali | 41.3% | 30.5% | 21.5% | 5.9% | 0.8% |
| Greg Jenson | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 21.4% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.