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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.50+0.98vs Predicted
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2Hope College1.10+0.31vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University1.06-0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-1.35-0.51vs Predicted
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6Iowa State University-0.52-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Indiana University1.500.4%1st Place
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2.31Hope College1.100.3%1st Place
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2.36Michigan State University1.060.2%1st Place
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4.49University of Iowa-1.350.0%1st Place
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3.86Iowa State University-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najwa Jumali | 41.2% | 30.0% | 19.5% | 8.4% | 0.9% |
| DJ Litts | 27.2% | 29.3% | 30.0% | 12.1% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Declercq | 24.6% | 29.9% | 31.6% | 12.3% | 1.6% |
| Greg Jenson | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 22.0% | 67.0% |
| Stefan Peterson | 5.0% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 45.2% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.