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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Indiana University-0.97+1.07vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.14+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Iowa-0.27-1.88vs Predicted
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5Iowa State University-1.29-1.51vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.93-1.56vs Predicted
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7Washington University-2.10-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Indiana University-0.970.2%1st Place
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3.25University of Michigan-1.140.2%1st Place
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2.12University of Iowa-0.270.4%1st Place
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3.49Iowa State University-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.44Michigan State University-1.930.1%1st Place
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4.62Washington University-2.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Ritter | 17.8% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 20.5% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| Zach Nerod | 16.4% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 8.0% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 41.4% | 25.2% | 18.8% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Conrad Brendel | 13.8% | 15.0% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 10.8% |
| Ava Karaitis | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 23.7% | 33.1% |
| Arvind Balasundaram | 4.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 23.3% | 39.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.